Search: kelly
30 result(s) on page 1
Expected_Value_and_the_Kelly_Criterion
Activate when: user asks 'how much should I bet/invest on this?', 'what's the expected value here?', 'Kelly criterion', 'optimal bet size', 'fractional Kelly...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Expected_Value_and_the_Kelly_CriterionKelly_Criterion_Bet_Sizer
Calculate optimal bet sizes using Kelly Criterion. Supports single bets, fractional Kelly (quarter/half/three-quarter), multi-bet portfolio sizing, and max-b...
quarantinedagentbetsbettingopenclawClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Kelly_Criterion_Bet_Sizerkelly-criterion
Indexed by skills.sh from agiprolabs/claude-trading-skills
quarantinedskills.sh- Registry
- skills.sh
- Version
- 1.0.0
- Author
- agiprolabs
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:skills.sh__skills.sh__kelly-criterionArgus_Edge_—_Prediction_Market_Betting_Engine
Argus-style prediction market edge detection and betting strategy. Computes expected value from TA-implied probability vs market odds, sizes bets via Kelly c...
quarantinedbetting-strategycryptoedgeClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Argus_Edge_—_Prediction_Market_Betting_EngineHFT_Paper_Trader_—_Autonomous_Crypto_Framework
High-frequency paper trading framework for crypto. Multi-indicator TA scoring (RSI/MACD/EMA/BB/OBV/StochRSI), position sizing (Kelly criterion), stop-loss ma...
quarantinedautonomous-agentbacktestingcryptoClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__HFT_Paper_Trader_—_Autonomous_Crypto_FrameworkPrediction_Market_Trader
Prediction market trading toolkit for Kalshi. Includes API authentication (RSA-PSS signatures), market scanning, Sofascore tennis de-vigging, true probabilit...
quarantinedautomationkalshikelly-criterionClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Productivity
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Prediction_Market_TraderAI_Risk_Assessment
Provides portfolio risk metrics, stress testing, and position management advice using VaR, CVaR, volatility, Beta, Sharpe ratio, and Kelly formula.
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__AI_Risk_AssessmentBlog_to_Kindle
Scrape blogs/essay sites and compile into Kindle-friendly EPUB with AI-generated cover. Use for requests to download blogs for Kindle, compile essays into ebook, or send blog archives to Kindle. Supports Paul Graham, Kevin Kelly, Derek Sivers, Wait But Why, Astral Codex Ten, a…
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Blog_to_KindleCrypto_Executor
Complete autonomous trading engine for Binance with WebSocket real-time, OCO orders, Kelly Criterion position sizing, trailing stops, circuit breakers, daily...
quarantinedarbitrageautomationbinanceClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Crypto_ExecutorDecision_Algorithm
EKB Decision Algorithm: Input any life decision and get structured analysis using Expected Value, Kelly Criterion, and Bayesian updating. Covers career, inve...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Decision_AlgorithmGambling_Analyst
Research and backtest gambling strategies on provably fair crypto casino. Analyze Martingale, Kelly Criterion, D'Alembert, Anti-Martingale, Flat Bet strategi...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Gambling_AnalystHorizon_SDK
v0.4.16 - Trade prediction markets (Polymarket, Kalshi) - positions, orders, risk management, Kelly sizing, wallet analytics, Monte Carlo, arbitrage, quantit...
quarantinedkalshipolymarketprediction-marketsClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Horizon_SDKKalshalyst
Contrarian prediction market scanner that finds mispricings on Kalshi using Claude Sonnet analysis, Brier score calibration, and Kelly Criterion position siz...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__KalshalystKalshi_Odds_Scanner_Pro
Real-time scanner comparing Kalshi odds to 6 sportsbooks, auto-buys 8%+ edge plays with Kelly sizing on NBA, NCAAB, NHL, and MLB markets.
quarantinedarbitragekalshiprediction-marketsClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Kalshi_Odds_Scanner_ProMedici_Investments_Pack
Position management and market monitoring tools for active traders. Includes risk-based position sizing (fixed fractional, ATR, Kelly Criterion) and a quick...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.5
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Medici_Investments_PackMedici_Investments_—_Position_Sizer
Calculate risk-based position sizes for long stock trades. Use when user asks about position sizing, how many shares to buy, risk per trade, Kelly criterion,...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Medici_Investments_—_Position_SizerMoltMarkets_Agent
Complete MoltMarkets trading agent setup with autonomous trader, market creator, and resolution crons. Use when setting up a new MoltMarkets agent, configuring trading bots, or replicating the bicep agent architecture. Includes Kelly criterion betting, learning loops, and dege…
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__MoltMarkets_AgentMoltMarkets_Trading_Agent
Complete MoltMarkets trading agent setup with autonomous trader, market creator, and resolution crons. Use when setting up a new MoltMarkets agent, configuring trading bots, or replicating the bicep agent architecture. Includes Kelly criterion betting, learning loops, and dege…
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__MoltMarkets_Trading_AgentMoltmarkets_Trader
Trade prediction markets on MoltMarkets intelligently. Use for screening markets, forming probability estimates, detecting edge, sizing positions with Kelly criterion, placing bets, creating markets, resolving markets, and tracking calibration. Triggers on any MoltMarkets trad…
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Moltmarkets_TraderOptions_Spread_Conviction_Engine
Multi-regime options spread analysis engine with Kelly Criterion Position Sizing. Scores vertical spreads (bull put, bear call, bull call, bear put) and mult...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Options_Spread_Conviction_EnginePolymarket_Ai_Divergence
Find markets where Simmer's AI consensus diverges from the real market price, then trade on the mispriced side using Kelly sizing. Scans for divergence, chec...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.5
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Polymarket_Ai_DivergencePolymarket_Auto-Trader
Autonomous Polymarket prediction market trading agent. Scans markets, evaluates probabilities with LLM, sizes positions with Kelly criterion, and executes trades via CLOB API. Use when user wants to trade on Polymarket, set up automated prediction market trading, or build a tr…
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Polymarket_Auto-TraderPolymarket_Edge_Trader
Trades the highest-edge active AION Polymarket market matching a query using a user-supplied fair probability, AION context safeguards, and Kelly-style sizing.
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Polymarket_Edge_TraderPolymarket_Mispricing_Events
Detects mispricings on Polymarket by cross-referencing Kalshi and Manifold consensus probability, then trades the gap using Kelly criterion sizing. Enters wh...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Polymarket_Mispricing_EventsPolymarket_Quant_Trader
Professional-grade Polymarket prediction market trading system. Includes Kelly Criterion position sizing, EV calculator, Bayesian probability updater, cross-...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Polymarket_Quant_TraderPolymarket_Valuation_Divergence
Trade Polymarket markets based on valuation divergence. When your probability model differs from Polymarket's price by >threshold, enter using Kelly sizing....
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Blockchain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Polymarket_Valuation_DivergencePrecise_T_Trading
Professional T+0 intraday trading system for Chinese A-shares. Uses Bayesian inference, Kelly criterion, and VaR risk management to optimize day-trading deci...
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Precise_T_TradingThreshold_Trader
Automatically trades prediction markets when prices deviate beyond your configured probability threshold with Kelly Criterion sizing and safety checks.
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__Threshold_Traderkk-innovation
KK Innovation Advisor: Think like Kevin Kelly about innovation, products, and the future. Based on the Nine Laws, 12 Inevitable Forces, and 12 New Rules.
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Category
- Domain· inferred
- Version
- 1.0.0
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__kk-innovationrisk-manager
Compute portfolio risk metrics including VaR, Sharpe ratio, and Kelly criterion using historical and real-time data from the Finskills API.
quarantinedClawHub- Registry
- ClawHub
- Version
- 1.0.5
curl -s /v1/skills/community__axehub:ClawHub__ClawHub__risk-manager